PREDICTION CENTER

Predictions, lines and fantasy — by game.

Choose a matchup. BTH keeps its Official15 prediction package, governed sportsbook context and fantasy outputs together without mixing games or dumping the whole week into one page.

15Week 2 games
15with predictions
0pending
Stack & CheeseMODEL + MARKET
IND
@
KC
SCHEDULEDSun Sep 20 · 8:20 PM ETFRIDAY_1820_CT

WIN PROBABILITY

Stack & Cheese
IND38.9%
KC61.1%

Official lifecycle prediction · FRIDAY_1820_CT · 15 governed outputs.

CURRENT MONEYLINE

LEDGER →
FANDUELIND +265
FANDUELKC -330

Current governed sportsbook context. It is not silently treated as prediction-time market custody.

BETTABLE PROP LINES

Model projection next to the exact governed sportsbook line when the contract matches.
FULL MARKET VIEW →
Alec Pierce
Alec PierceIND · Receiving Yards
Sportsbook line45.5
Model projection40.88
Best OVER-114betPARX
Best UNDER-114betPARX
Model vs lineUNDER -114 · betPARX-4.62 versus line
Alec Pierce
Alec PierceIND · Receptions
Sportsbook line3.5
Model projection2.87
Best OVER+155betPARX
Best UNDER
Model vs lineModel below line-0.63 versus line · matching sportsbook-side price unavailable
Daniel Jones
Daniel JonesIND · Rushing Yards
Sportsbook line19.5
Model projectionNo exact model target
Best OVER+270betPARX
Best UNDER
Market line available · exact matching model target unavailable.
Jonathan Taylor
Jonathan TaylorIND · Receiving Yards
Sportsbook line16.5
Model projection12.65
Best OVER
Best UNDER-115betPARX
Model vs lineUNDER -115 · betPARX-3.85 versus line
Jonathan Taylor
Jonathan TaylorIND · Receptions
Sportsbook line3.5
Model projection1.90
Best OVER+210betPARX
Best UNDER
Model vs lineModel below line-1.60 versus line · matching sportsbook-side price unavailable
Jonathan Taylor
Jonathan TaylorIND · Rushing Yards
Sportsbook line86.5
Model projectionNo exact model target
Best OVER-113betPARX
Best UNDER-115betPARX
Market line available · exact matching model target unavailable.
Jonathan Taylor
Jonathan TaylorIND · Rush Attempts
Sportsbook line24.5
Model projectionNo exact model target
Best OVER+310betPARX
Best UNDER
Market line available · exact matching model target unavailable.
Josh Downs
Josh DownsIND · Receiving Yards
Sportsbook line37.5
Model projection30.55
Best OVER-117betPARX
Best UNDER-112betPARX
Model vs lineUNDER -112 · betPARX-6.95 versus line
Josh Downs
Josh DownsIND · Receptions
Sportsbook line4.5
Model projection2.52
Best OVER+175betPARX
Best UNDER
Model vs lineModel below line-1.98 versus line · matching sportsbook-side price unavailable
Keenan Allen
Keenan AllenIND · Receiving Yards
Sportsbook line31.5
Model projection24.95
Best OVER-112betPARX
Best UNDER-117betPARX
Model vs lineUNDER -117 · betPARX-6.55 versus line
Keenan Allen
Keenan AllenIND · Receptions
Sportsbook line4.5
Model projection3.27
Best OVER+185betPARX
Best UNDER
Model vs lineModel below line-1.23 versus line · matching sportsbook-side price unavailable
Tyler Warren
Tyler WarrenIND · Receiving Yards
Sportsbook line43.5
Model projection25.06
Best OVER-112betPARX
Best UNDER-117betPARX
Model vs lineUNDER -117 · betPARX-18.44 versus line
Tyler Warren
Tyler WarrenIND · Receptions
Sportsbook line5.5
Model projection3.17
Best OVER+160betPARX
Best UNDER
Model vs lineModel below line-2.33 versus line · matching sportsbook-side price unavailable
Cyrus Allen
Cyrus AllenKC · Anytime Touchdown
Sportsbook marketAnytime TD
Best YES price+1300betPARX

Anytime TD is broader than the model-specific receiving/rushing TD event. The sportsbook price is payout context, not an exact-event edge.

Emmett Johnson
Emmett JohnsonKC · Anytime Touchdown
Sportsbook marketAnytime TD
Best YES price+480betPARX
Any Rushing Touchdown4.3%Model fair +2234

Anytime TD is broader than the model-specific receiving/rushing TD event. The sportsbook price is payout context, not an exact-event edge.

Kenneth Walker III
Kenneth Walker IIIKC · Receiving Yards
Sportsbook line18.5
Model projection16.08
Best OVER-118betPARX
Best UNDER-110betPARX
Model vs lineUNDER -110 · betPARX-2.42 versus line
Kenneth Walker III
Kenneth Walker IIIKC · Receptions
Sportsbook line3.5
Model projection2.00
Best OVER+148betPARX
Best UNDER
Model vs lineModel below line-1.50 versus line · matching sportsbook-side price unavailable
Kenneth Walker III
Kenneth Walker IIIKC · Rushing Yards
Sportsbook line79.5
Model projectionNo exact model target
Best OVER-117betPARX
Best UNDER-112betPARX
Market line available · exact matching model target unavailable.
Kenneth Walker III
Kenneth Walker IIIKC · Rush Attempts
Sportsbook line19.5
Model projectionNo exact model target
Best OVER+116betPARX
Best UNDER
Market line available · exact matching model target unavailable.
Patrick Mahomes
Patrick MahomesKC · Rushing Yards
Sportsbook line17.5
Model projectionNo exact model target
Best OVER-109betPARX
Best UNDER-120betPARX
Market line available · exact matching model target unavailable.
Travis Kelce
Travis KelceKC · Receiving Yards
Sportsbook line44.5
Model projection32.83
Best OVER-112betPARX
Best UNDER-117betPARX
Model vs lineUNDER -117 · betPARX-11.67 versus line
Travis Kelce
Travis KelceKC · Receptions
Sportsbook line4.5
Model projection2.86
Best OVER+148betPARX
Best UNDER
Model vs lineModel below line-1.64 versus line · matching sportsbook-side price unavailable
Xavier Worthy
Xavier WorthyKC · Receiving Yards
Sportsbook line39.5
Model projection10.97
Best OVER-105betPARX
Best UNDER
Model vs lineModel below line-28.53 versus line · matching sportsbook-side price unavailable
Xavier Worthy
Xavier WorthyKC · Receptions
Sportsbook line4.5
Model projection1.11
Best OVER+245betPARX
Best UNDER
Model vs lineModel below line-3.39 versus line · matching sportsbook-side price unavailable
TOUCHDOWN PRICING CONTEXT14 players
Kenneth Walker III
Kenneth Walker IIIKC
Any Rushing Touchdown40.7%Model fair +146
Any Receiving Touchdown9.0%Model fair +1011
Sportsbook Anytime TDPublic-safe price unavailable

Payout context only; Anytime TD is not the same contract as the model-specific rushing/receiving TD event.

Jonathan Taylor
Jonathan TaylorIND
Any Rushing Touchdown29.9%Model fair +234
Any Receiving Touchdown7.8%Model fair +1190
Sportsbook Anytime TDPublic-safe price unavailable

Payout context only; Anytime TD is not the same contract as the model-specific rushing/receiving TD event.

Travis Kelce
Travis KelceKC
Any Receiving Touchdown23.0%Model fair +335
Sportsbook Anytime TDPublic-safe price unavailable

Payout context only; Anytime TD is not the same contract as the model-specific rushing/receiving TD event.

Keenan Allen
Keenan AllenIND
Any Receiving Touchdown17.7%Model fair +466
Sportsbook Anytime TDPublic-safe price unavailable

Payout context only; Anytime TD is not the same contract as the model-specific rushing/receiving TD event.

Josh Downs
Josh DownsIND
Any Receiving Touchdown13.8%Model fair +626
Sportsbook Anytime TDPublic-safe price unavailable

Payout context only; Anytime TD is not the same contract as the model-specific rushing/receiving TD event.

Alec Pierce
Alec PierceIND
Any Receiving Touchdown13.4%Model fair +644
Sportsbook Anytime TDPublic-safe price unavailable

Payout context only; Anytime TD is not the same contract as the model-specific rushing/receiving TD event.

Patrick Mahomes
Patrick MahomesKC
Any Rushing Touchdown10.3%Model fair +874
Sportsbook Anytime TDPublic-safe price unavailable

Payout context only; Anytime TD is not the same contract as the model-specific rushing/receiving TD event.

Tyler Warren
Tyler WarrenIND
Any Receiving Touchdown8.7%Model fair +1054
Sportsbook Anytime TDPublic-safe price unavailable

Payout context only; Anytime TD is not the same contract as the model-specific rushing/receiving TD event.

Mo Alie-Cox
Mo Alie-CoxIND
Any Receiving Touchdown8.3%Model fair +1109
Sportsbook Anytime TDPublic-safe price unavailable

Payout context only; Anytime TD is not the same contract as the model-specific rushing/receiving TD event.

Xavier Worthy
Xavier WorthyKC
Any Receiving Touchdown7.4%Model fair +1259
Sportsbook Anytime TDPublic-safe price unavailable

Payout context only; Anytime TD is not the same contract as the model-specific rushing/receiving TD event.

Noah Gray
Noah GrayKC
Any Receiving Touchdown7.3%Model fair +1278
Sportsbook Anytime TDPublic-safe price unavailable

Payout context only; Anytime TD is not the same contract as the model-specific rushing/receiving TD event.

Emmett Johnson
Emmett JohnsonKC
Any Rushing Touchdown4.3%Model fair +2234
Sportsbook Anytime TD+480 · betPARX

Payout context only; Anytime TD is not the same contract as the model-specific rushing/receiving TD event.

Brashard Smith
Brashard SmithKC
Any Rushing Touchdown2.1%Model fair +4757
Any Receiving Touchdown2.6%Model fair +3768
Sportsbook Anytime TDPublic-safe price unavailable

Payout context only; Anytime TD is not the same contract as the model-specific rushing/receiving TD event.

DJ Giddens
DJ GiddensIND
Any Rushing Touchdown1.5%Model fair +6627
Sportsbook Anytime TDPublic-safe price unavailable

Payout context only; Anytime TD is not the same contract as the model-specific rushing/receiving TD event.

FANTASY · THIS MATCHUP15 players
FULL OFFICIAL15 OUTPUTSTap a model category below to expand it15 outputs · 170 records

Raw retained model categories for FRIDAY_1820_CT. These stay available without overwhelming the primary betting view.

Any Rushing Touchdown6
Jonathan Taylor · IND
29.9%Model fair +234Sportsbook Anytime TD unavailable
DJ Giddens · IND
1.5%Model fair +6627Sportsbook Anytime TD unavailable
Patrick Mahomes · KC
10.3%Model fair +874Sportsbook Anytime TD unavailable
Kenneth Walker III · KC
40.7%Model fair +146Sportsbook Anytime TD unavailable
Brashard Smith · KC
2.1%Model fair +4757Sportsbook Anytime TD unavailable
Emmett Johnson · KC
4.3%Model fair +2234Sportsbook Anytime TD +480 · betPARX · broader market
Receiving Yards11
Keenan Allen · IND
24.95
Mo Alie-Cox · IND
2.49
Jonathan Taylor · IND
12.65
Alec Pierce · IND
40.88
Josh Downs · IND
30.55
Tyler Warren · IND
25.06
Travis Kelce · KC
32.83
Noah Gray · KC
3.77
Kenneth Walker III · KC
16.08
Xavier Worthy · KC
10.97
Brashard Smith · KC
6.19
Receptions11
Keenan Allen · IND
3.27
Mo Alie-Cox · IND
0.84
Jonathan Taylor · IND
1.90
Alec Pierce · IND
2.87
Josh Downs · IND
2.52
Tyler Warren · IND
3.17
Travis Kelce · KC
2.86
Noah Gray · KC
0.78
Kenneth Walker III · KC
2.00
Xavier Worthy · KC
1.11
Brashard Smith · KC
0.88
Targets11
Keenan Allen · IND
4.59
Mo Alie-Cox · IND
1.21
Jonathan Taylor · IND
2.60
Alec Pierce · IND
5.08
Josh Downs · IND
4.38
Tyler Warren · IND
4.80
Travis Kelce · KC
4.95
Noah Gray · KC
1.31
Kenneth Walker III · KC
3.00
Xavier Worthy · KC
2.18
Brashard Smith · KC
1.45
Any Receiving Touchdown11
Keenan Allen · IND
17.7%Model fair +466Sportsbook Anytime TD unavailable
Mo Alie-Cox · IND
8.3%Model fair +1109Sportsbook Anytime TD unavailable
Jonathan Taylor · IND
7.8%Model fair +1190Sportsbook Anytime TD unavailable
Alec Pierce · IND
13.4%Model fair +644Sportsbook Anytime TD unavailable
Josh Downs · IND
13.8%Model fair +626Sportsbook Anytime TD unavailable
Tyler Warren · IND
8.7%Model fair +1054Sportsbook Anytime TD unavailable
Travis Kelce · KC
23.0%Model fair +335Sportsbook Anytime TD unavailable
Noah Gray · KC
7.3%Model fair +1278Sportsbook Anytime TD unavailable
Kenneth Walker III · KC
9.0%Model fair +1011Sportsbook Anytime TD unavailable
Xavier Worthy · KC
7.4%Model fair +1259Sportsbook Anytime TD unavailable
Brashard Smith · KC
2.6%Model fair +3768Sportsbook Anytime TD unavailable
Standard Fantasy Points15
Keenan Allen · IND
3.63
Mo Alie-Cox · IND
0.52
Daniel Jones · IND
1.45
Jonathan Taylor · IND
8.21
Alec Pierce · IND
4.27
Josh Downs · IND
4.16
Tyler Warren · IND
3.62
DJ Giddens · IND
0.28
Riley Leonard · IND
3.73
Travis Kelce · KC
3.28
Patrick Mahomes · KC
3.75
Kenneth Walker III · KC
10.26
Xavier Worthy · KC
1.23
Brashard Smith · KC
1.24
Emmett Johnson · KC
4.24
Half-PPR Fantasy Points15
Keenan Allen · IND
4.69
Mo Alie-Cox · IND
1.23
Daniel Jones · IND
-0.15
Jonathan Taylor · IND
9.87
Alec Pierce · IND
6.49
Josh Downs · IND
4.41
Tyler Warren · IND
4.48
DJ Giddens · IND
0.28
Riley Leonard · IND
1.55
Travis Kelce · KC
5.16
Patrick Mahomes · KC
3.41
Kenneth Walker III · KC
11.46
Xavier Worthy · KC
2.11
Brashard Smith · KC
1.48
Emmett Johnson · KC
5.66
PPR Fantasy Points15
Keenan Allen · IND
6.63
Mo Alie-Cox · IND
1.49
Daniel Jones · IND
0.22
Jonathan Taylor · IND
10.64
Alec Pierce · IND
9.04
Josh Downs · IND
6.30
Tyler Warren · IND
6.63
DJ Giddens · IND
0.70
Riley Leonard · IND
1.31
Travis Kelce · KC
6.72
Patrick Mahomes · KC
3.61
Kenneth Walker III · KC
13.23
Xavier Worthy · KC
2.87
Brashard Smith · KC
2.04
Emmett Johnson · KC
7.55
Rush Attempts Distribution9
Jonathan Taylor · IND
15.10
Josh Downs · IND
0.00
DJ Giddens · IND
0.33
Riley Leonard · IND
-0.02
Patrick Mahomes · KC
1.34
Kenneth Walker III · KC
15.51
Xavier Worthy · KC
-0.02
Brashard Smith · KC
1.04
Emmett Johnson · KC
5.65
Rushing Yards Distribution9
Jonathan Taylor · IND
60.74
Josh Downs · IND
0.32
DJ Giddens · IND
0.34
Riley Leonard · IND
-0.24
Patrick Mahomes · KC
1.35
Kenneth Walker III · KC
61.13
Xavier Worthy · KC
0.31
Brashard Smith · KC
4.74
Emmett Johnson · KC
24.14
Targets Distribution14
Keenan Allen · IND
5.08
Mo Alie-Cox · IND
1.21
Jonathan Taylor · IND
2.80
Alec Pierce · IND
5.44
Josh Downs · IND
4.95
Tyler Warren · IND
4.53
Seth McGowan · IND
0.19
Travis Kelce · KC
4.62
Noah Gray · KC
1.54
Kenneth Walker III · KC
3.58
Xavier Worthy · KC
2.08
Brashard Smith · KC
0.73
Cyrus Allen · KC
0.46
Emmett Johnson · KC
2.54
Receptions Distribution14
Keenan Allen · IND
3.33
Mo Alie-Cox · IND
0.99
Jonathan Taylor · IND
2.06
Alec Pierce · IND
2.96
Josh Downs · IND
2.90
Tyler Warren · IND
3.17
Seth McGowan · IND
0.11
Travis Kelce · KC
2.88
Noah Gray · KC
0.91
Kenneth Walker III · KC
2.49
Xavier Worthy · KC
1.57
Brashard Smith · KC
0.39
Cyrus Allen · KC
0.52
Emmett Johnson · KC
2.01
Receiving Yards Distribution14
Keenan Allen · IND
32.54
Mo Alie-Cox · IND
3.14
Jonathan Taylor · IND
11.26
Alec Pierce · IND
41.54
Josh Downs · IND
33.78
Tyler Warren · IND
28.85
Seth McGowan · IND
1.90
Travis Kelce · KC
29.67
Noah Gray · KC
8.24
Kenneth Walker III · KC
13.68
Xavier Worthy · KC
12.99
Brashard Smith · KC
0.99
Cyrus Allen · KC
4.03
Emmett Johnson · KC
9.28
Fantasy Ppr15
Keenan Allen · IND
6.72
Mo Alie-Cox · IND
0.96
Daniel Jones · IND
-0.05
Jonathan Taylor · IND
10.02
Alec Pierce · IND
9.02
Josh Downs · IND
6.63
Tyler Warren · IND
6.45
DJ Giddens · IND
-0.02
Riley Leonard · IND
0.88
Travis Kelce · KC
6.04
Patrick Mahomes · KC
3.72
Kenneth Walker III · KC
12.76
Xavier Worthy · KC
1.55
Brashard Smith · KC
1.70
Emmett Johnson · KC
6.52
Prediction history17 completed official game records available

Completed predictions remain preserved in verified history.