IND @ KCSun Sep 20 · 8:21 PM ET
IND38.9%Model fair +157 · FRIDAY_1820_CT
Best sportsbook+265FanDuel
KC61.1%Model fair -157 · FRIDAY_1820_CT
Best sportsbook-330FanDuel
ECONOMIC LEDGER
Prediction vs. the best price.
Start with the BTH model. Then see the single best current sportsbook price from the approved 3-book market view.
GAME LINES
IND @ KC · Newest available prediction window × best current moneylineShow other 14 game lines
PHI @ TENSun Sep 20 · 1:01 PM ET
PHI61.6%Fair -160
Best price-345betPARX
TEN38.4%Fair +160
Best price+280FanDuel
GB @ NYJSun Sep 20 · 1:01 PM ET
GB55.6%Fair -125
Best price-198FanDuel
NYJ44.4%Fair +125
Best price+164FanDuel
CIN @ HOUSun Sep 20 · 1:01 PM ET
CIN56.6%Fair -130
Best price+120betPARX
HOU43.4%Fair +130
Best price-136FanDuel
NO @ BALSun Sep 20 · 1:01 PM ET
NO35.1%Fair +185
Best price+325betPARX
BAL64.9%Fair -185
Best price-390FanDuel
MIN @ CHISun Sep 20 · 1:01 PM ET
MIN24.9%Fair +302
Best price+185betPARX
CHI75.1%Fair -302
Best price-220FanDuel
CAR @ ATLSun Sep 20 · 1:01 PM ET
CAR51.2%Fair -105
Best price-142FanDuel
ATL48.8%Fair +105
Best price+120betPARX
PIT @ NESun Sep 20 · 1:01 PM ET
PIT41.8%Fair +139
Best price+198FanDuel
NE58.2%Fair -139
Best price-240betPARX
CLE @ TBSun Sep 20 · 1:01 PM ET
CLE32.8%Fair +205
Best price+360FanDuel
TB67.2%Fair -205
Best price-455betPARX
LV @ LACSun Sep 20 · 4:06 PM ET
LV48.1%Fair +108
Best price+250FanDuel
LAC51.9%Fair -108
Best price-310FanDuel
JAX @ DENSun Sep 20 · 4:06 PM ET
JAX48.8%Fair +105
Best price+130betPARX
DEN51.2%Fair -105
Best price-148FanDuel
SEA @ ARISun Sep 20 · 4:26 PM ET
SEA51.4%Fair -106
Best price-198FanDuel
ARI48.6%Fair +106
Best price+170betPARX
WAS @ DALSun Sep 20 · 4:26 PM ET
WAS40.7%Fair +146
Best price+168FanDuel
DAL59.3%Fair -146
Best price-200betPARX
MIA @ SFSun Sep 20 · 4:26 PM ET
MIA30.1%Fair +232
Best price+660FanDuel
SF69.9%Fair -232
Best price-910betPARX
NYG @ LAMon Sep 21 · 8:16 PM ET
NYG53.0%Fair -113
Best price+275FanDuel
LA47.0%Fair +113
Best price-340FanDuel
PREDICTION INVENTORY
IND @ KC · FRIDAY_1820_CT · 15 outputs · 170 player recordsFull model inventory15 outputs · 170 records
Any Rushing Touchdown6
Jonathan Taylor · IND29.9%
DJ Giddens · IND1.5%
Patrick Mahomes · KC10.3%
Kenneth Walker III · KC40.7%
Brashard Smith · KC2.1%
Emmett Johnson · KC4.3%
Receiving Yards11
Keenan Allen · IND24.95
Mo Alie-Cox · IND2.49
Jonathan Taylor · IND12.65
Alec Pierce · IND40.88
Josh Downs · IND30.55
Tyler Warren · IND25.06
Travis Kelce · KC32.83
Noah Gray · KC3.77
Kenneth Walker III · KC16.08
Xavier Worthy · KC10.97
Brashard Smith · KC6.19
Receptions11
Keenan Allen · IND3.27
Mo Alie-Cox · IND0.84
Jonathan Taylor · IND1.90
Alec Pierce · IND2.87
Josh Downs · IND2.52
Tyler Warren · IND3.17
Travis Kelce · KC2.86
Noah Gray · KC0.78
Kenneth Walker III · KC2.00
Xavier Worthy · KC1.11
Brashard Smith · KC0.88
Targets11
Keenan Allen · IND4.59
Mo Alie-Cox · IND1.21
Jonathan Taylor · IND2.60
Alec Pierce · IND5.08
Josh Downs · IND4.38
Tyler Warren · IND4.80
Travis Kelce · KC4.95
Noah Gray · KC1.31
Kenneth Walker III · KC3.00
Xavier Worthy · KC2.18
Brashard Smith · KC1.45
Any Receiving Touchdown11
Keenan Allen · IND17.7%
Mo Alie-Cox · IND8.3%
Jonathan Taylor · IND7.8%
Alec Pierce · IND13.4%
Josh Downs · IND13.8%
Tyler Warren · IND8.7%
Travis Kelce · KC23.0%
Noah Gray · KC7.3%
Kenneth Walker III · KC9.0%
Xavier Worthy · KC7.4%
Brashard Smith · KC2.6%
Standard Fantasy Points15
Keenan Allen · IND3.63
Mo Alie-Cox · IND0.52
Daniel Jones · IND1.45
Jonathan Taylor · IND8.21
Alec Pierce · IND4.27
Josh Downs · IND4.16
Tyler Warren · IND3.62
DJ Giddens · IND0.28
Riley Leonard · IND3.73
Travis Kelce · KC3.28
Patrick Mahomes · KC3.75
Kenneth Walker III · KC10.26
Xavier Worthy · KC1.23
Brashard Smith · KC1.24
Emmett Johnson · KC4.24
Half-PPR Fantasy Points15
Keenan Allen · IND4.69
Mo Alie-Cox · IND1.23
Daniel Jones · IND-0.15
Jonathan Taylor · IND9.87
Alec Pierce · IND6.49
Josh Downs · IND4.41
Tyler Warren · IND4.48
DJ Giddens · IND0.28
Riley Leonard · IND1.55
Travis Kelce · KC5.16
Patrick Mahomes · KC3.41
Kenneth Walker III · KC11.46
Xavier Worthy · KC2.11
Brashard Smith · KC1.48
Emmett Johnson · KC5.66
PPR Fantasy Points15
Keenan Allen · IND6.63
Mo Alie-Cox · IND1.49
Daniel Jones · IND0.22
Jonathan Taylor · IND10.64
Alec Pierce · IND9.04
Josh Downs · IND6.30
Tyler Warren · IND6.63
DJ Giddens · IND0.70
Riley Leonard · IND1.31
Travis Kelce · KC6.72
Patrick Mahomes · KC3.61
Kenneth Walker III · KC13.23
Xavier Worthy · KC2.87
Brashard Smith · KC2.04
Emmett Johnson · KC7.55
Rush Attempts Distribution9
Jonathan Taylor · IND15.10
Josh Downs · IND0.00
DJ Giddens · IND0.33
Riley Leonard · IND-0.02
Patrick Mahomes · KC1.34
Kenneth Walker III · KC15.51
Xavier Worthy · KC-0.02
Brashard Smith · KC1.04
Emmett Johnson · KC5.65
Rushing Yards Distribution9
Jonathan Taylor · IND60.74
Josh Downs · IND0.32
DJ Giddens · IND0.34
Riley Leonard · IND-0.24
Patrick Mahomes · KC1.35
Kenneth Walker III · KC61.13
Xavier Worthy · KC0.31
Brashard Smith · KC4.74
Emmett Johnson · KC24.14
Targets Distribution14
Keenan Allen · IND5.08
Mo Alie-Cox · IND1.21
Jonathan Taylor · IND2.80
Alec Pierce · IND5.44
Josh Downs · IND4.95
Tyler Warren · IND4.53
Seth McGowan · IND0.19
Travis Kelce · KC4.62
Noah Gray · KC1.54
Kenneth Walker III · KC3.58
Xavier Worthy · KC2.08
Brashard Smith · KC0.73
Cyrus Allen · KC0.46
Emmett Johnson · KC2.54
Receptions Distribution14
Keenan Allen · IND3.33
Mo Alie-Cox · IND0.99
Jonathan Taylor · IND2.06
Alec Pierce · IND2.96
Josh Downs · IND2.90
Tyler Warren · IND3.17
Seth McGowan · IND0.11
Travis Kelce · KC2.88
Noah Gray · KC0.91
Kenneth Walker III · KC2.49
Xavier Worthy · KC1.57
Brashard Smith · KC0.39
Cyrus Allen · KC0.52
Emmett Johnson · KC2.01
Receiving Yards Distribution14
Keenan Allen · IND32.54
Mo Alie-Cox · IND3.14
Jonathan Taylor · IND11.26
Alec Pierce · IND41.54
Josh Downs · IND33.78
Tyler Warren · IND28.85
Seth McGowan · IND1.90
Travis Kelce · KC29.67
Noah Gray · KC8.24
Kenneth Walker III · KC13.68
Xavier Worthy · KC12.99
Brashard Smith · KC0.99
Cyrus Allen · KC4.03
Emmett Johnson · KC9.28
Fantasy Ppr15
Keenan Allen · IND6.72
Mo Alie-Cox · IND0.96
Daniel Jones · IND-0.05
Jonathan Taylor · IND10.02
Alec Pierce · IND9.02
Josh Downs · IND6.63
Tyler Warren · IND6.45
DJ Giddens · IND-0.02
Riley Leonard · IND0.88
Travis Kelce · KC6.04
Patrick Mahomes · KC3.72
Kenneth Walker III · KC12.76
Xavier Worthy · KC1.55
Brashard Smith · KC1.70
Emmett Johnson · KC6.52
PLAYER PROP SPOTLIGHT
Exact governed model + market matches when available
Alec PierceIND · Receiving Yards
Market line 45.5Model projection 40.9Best UNDER price -114
betPARX · Model below current line
Kenneth Walker IIIKC · Receiving Yards
Market line 18.5Model projection 16.1Best UNDER price -110
betPARX · Model below current line
Josh DownsIND · Receiving Yards
Market line 37.5Model projection 30.5Best UNDER price -112
betPARX · Model below current line
Travis KelceKC · Receiving Yards
Market line 44.5Model projection 32.8Best UNDER price -117
betPARX · Model below current linePLAYER PROPS
IND @ KC · prediction first · best price onlyPHI @ TENGB @ NYJCIN @ HOUNO @ BALMIN @ CHICAR @ ATLPIT @ NECLE @ TBLV @ LACJAX @ DENSEA @ ARIWAS @ DALMIA @ SFIND @ KCNYG @ LA
Alec PierceIND · Receiving yards · line 45.5
Stack & Cheese projection40.88
Best UNDER price-114betPARX
Jonathan TaylorIND · Receiving yards · line 16.5
Stack & Cheese projection12.65
Best UNDER price-115betPARX
Josh DownsIND · Receiving yards · line 37.5
Stack & Cheese projection30.55
Best UNDER price-112betPARX
Keenan AllenIND · Receiving yards · line 31.5
Stack & Cheese projection24.95
Best UNDER price-117betPARX
Tyler WarrenIND · Receiving yards · line 43.5
Stack & Cheese projection25.06
Best UNDER price-117betPARX
Kenneth Walker IIIKC · Receiving yards · line 18.5
Stack & Cheese projection16.08
Best UNDER price-110betPARX
Travis KelceKC · Receiving yards · line 44.5
Stack & Cheese projection32.83
Best UNDER price-117betPARX