ECONOMIC LEDGER

Prediction vs. the best price.

Start with the BTH model. Then see the single best current sportsbook price from the approved 3-book market view.

Stack & Cheese

GAME LINES

NO @ BAL · Newest available prediction window × best current moneyline
NO @ BALSun Sep 20 · 1:01 PM ET
NO35.1%Model fair +185 · T-60m
Best sportsbook+325betPARX
BAL64.9%Model fair -185 · T-60m
Best sportsbook-390FanDuel
Show other 14 game lines
PHI @ TENSun Sep 20 · 1:01 PM ET
PHI61.6%Fair -160
Best price-345betPARX
TEN38.4%Fair +160
Best price+280FanDuel
GB @ NYJSun Sep 20 · 1:01 PM ET
GB55.6%Fair -125
Best price-198FanDuel
NYJ44.4%Fair +125
Best price+164FanDuel
CIN @ HOUSun Sep 20 · 1:01 PM ET
CIN56.6%Fair -130
Best price+120betPARX
HOU43.4%Fair +130
Best price-136FanDuel
MIN @ CHISun Sep 20 · 1:01 PM ET
MIN24.9%Fair +302
Best price+185betPARX
CHI75.1%Fair -302
Best price-220FanDuel
CAR @ ATLSun Sep 20 · 1:01 PM ET
CAR51.2%Fair -105
Best price-142FanDuel
ATL48.8%Fair +105
Best price+120betPARX
PIT @ NESun Sep 20 · 1:01 PM ET
PIT41.8%Fair +139
Best price+198FanDuel
NE58.2%Fair -139
Best price-240betPARX
CLE @ TBSun Sep 20 · 1:01 PM ET
CLE32.8%Fair +205
Best price+360FanDuel
TB67.2%Fair -205
Best price-455betPARX
LV @ LACSun Sep 20 · 4:06 PM ET
LV48.1%Fair +108
Best price+250FanDuel
LAC51.9%Fair -108
Best price-310FanDuel
JAX @ DENSun Sep 20 · 4:06 PM ET
JAX48.8%Fair +105
Best price+130betPARX
DEN51.2%Fair -105
Best price-148FanDuel
SEA @ ARISun Sep 20 · 4:26 PM ET
SEA51.4%Fair -106
Best price-198FanDuel
ARI48.6%Fair +106
Best price+170betPARX
WAS @ DALSun Sep 20 · 4:26 PM ET
WAS40.7%Fair +146
Best price+168FanDuel
DAL59.3%Fair -146
Best price-200betPARX
MIA @ SFSun Sep 20 · 4:26 PM ET
MIA30.1%Fair +232
Best price+660FanDuel
SF69.9%Fair -232
Best price-910betPARX
IND @ KCSun Sep 20 · 8:21 PM ET
IND38.9%Fair +157
Best price+265FanDuel
KC61.1%Fair -157
Best price-330FanDuel
NYG @ LAMon Sep 21 · 8:16 PM ET
NYG53.0%Fair -113
Best price+275FanDuel
LA47.0%Fair +113
Best price-340FanDuel

PREDICTION INVENTORY

NO @ BAL · T-60m · 15 outputs · 218 player records
Full model inventory15 outputs · 218 records
Any Rushing Touchdown9
Derrick Henry · BAL63.8%
Lamar Jackson · BAL11.9%
Justice Hill · BAL4.3%
Tyler Huntley · BAL5.7%
Travis Etienne · NO25.9%
Ty Chandler · NO6.3%
Kendre Miller · NO3.7%
Audric Estimé · NO9.0%
Tyler Shough · NO5.6%
Receiving Yards16
Mark Andrews · BAL16.44
Rashod Bateman · BAL1.62
Zay Flowers · BAL46.55
Rasheen Ali · BAL2.07
Noah Fant · NO3.17
Juwan Johnson · NO39.11
Travis Etienne · NO13.88
Kevin Austin Jr. · NO12.93
Chris Olave · NO57.74
Ty Chandler · NO0.78
Stone Smartt · NO5.77
Cedric Tillman · NO1.43
Audric Estimé · NO5.98
Devaughn Vele · NO19.48
Mason Tipton · NO2.94
Bryce Lance · NO20.75
Receptions16
Mark Andrews · BAL2.33
Rashod Bateman · BAL0.27
Zay Flowers · BAL4.11
Rasheen Ali · BAL0.67
Noah Fant · NO0.71
Juwan Johnson · NO3.43
Travis Etienne · NO2.06
Kevin Austin Jr. · NO1.60
Chris Olave · NO5.43
Ty Chandler · NO0.37
Stone Smartt · NO0.77
Cedric Tillman · NO0.19
Audric Estimé · NO1.06
Devaughn Vele · NO2.07
Mason Tipton · NO0.45
Bryce Lance · NO2.23
Targets16
Mark Andrews · BAL3.56
Rashod Bateman · BAL0.42
Zay Flowers · BAL6.49
Rasheen Ali · BAL0.67
Noah Fant · NO1.24
Juwan Johnson · NO5.13
Travis Etienne · NO2.50
Kevin Austin Jr. · NO2.82
Chris Olave · NO8.30
Ty Chandler · NO0.36
Stone Smartt · NO1.33
Cedric Tillman · NO0.77
Audric Estimé · NO1.33
Devaughn Vele · NO3.51
Mason Tipton · NO0.74
Bryce Lance · NO3.95
Any Receiving Touchdown16
Mark Andrews · BAL19.1%
Rashod Bateman · BAL6.5%
Zay Flowers · BAL14.4%
Rasheen Ali · BAL2.2%
Noah Fant · NO8.5%
Juwan Johnson · NO21.9%
Travis Etienne · NO8.3%
Kevin Austin Jr. · NO7.9%
Chris Olave · NO25.3%
Ty Chandler · NO2.1%
Stone Smartt · NO6.3%
Cedric Tillman · NO5.1%
Audric Estimé · NO3.4%
Devaughn Vele · NO5.7%
Mason Tipton · NO4.2%
Bryce Lance · NO16.0%
Standard Fantasy Points16
Derrick Henry · BAL12.90
Mark Andrews · BAL2.33
Lamar Jackson · BAL7.68
Tyler Huntley · BAL2.60
Zay Flowers · BAL7.33
Noah Fant · NO0.38
Juwan Johnson · NO5.05
Travis Etienne · NO8.61
Kevin Austin Jr. · NO0.87
Chris Olave · NO8.23
Ty Chandler · NO0.45
Stone Smartt · NO0.35
Kendre Miller · NO0.44
Audric Estimé · NO3.24
Devaughn Vele · NO1.42
Tyler Shough · NO17.55
Half-PPR Fantasy Points16
Derrick Henry · BAL14.95
Mark Andrews · BAL3.76
Lamar Jackson · BAL7.53
Tyler Huntley · BAL2.06
Zay Flowers · BAL9.48
Noah Fant · NO0.39
Juwan Johnson · NO7.34
Travis Etienne · NO11.06
Kevin Austin Jr. · NO1.83
Chris Olave · NO11.10
Ty Chandler · NO0.64
Stone Smartt · NO0.48
Kendre Miller · NO0.40
Audric Estimé · NO4.28
Devaughn Vele · NO2.38
Tyler Shough · NO17.51
PPR Fantasy Points16
Derrick Henry · BAL15.04
Mark Andrews · BAL5.69
Lamar Jackson · BAL7.21
Tyler Huntley · BAL3.65
Zay Flowers · BAL10.86
Noah Fant · NO0.82
Juwan Johnson · NO9.03
Travis Etienne · NO11.88
Kevin Austin Jr. · NO2.74
Chris Olave · NO13.67
Ty Chandler · NO0.73
Stone Smartt · NO0.64
Kendre Miller · NO0.72
Audric Estimé · NO5.97
Devaughn Vele · NO4.02
Tyler Shough · NO16.94
Rush Attempts Distribution12
Derrick Henry · BAL18.38
Lamar Jackson · BAL2.97
Justice Hill · BAL0.09
Tyler Huntley · BAL1.38
Travis Etienne · NO13.06
Ty Chandler · NO1.33
Zamir White · NO0.04
Kendre Miller · NO0.86
Audric Estimé · NO5.79
Tyler Shough · NO2.90
Barion Brown · NO0.58
CJ Donaldson · NO1.60
Rushing Yards Distribution12
Derrick Henry · BAL81.57
Lamar Jackson · BAL12.41
Justice Hill · BAL0.35
Tyler Huntley · BAL2.53
Travis Etienne · NO46.19
Ty Chandler · NO5.33
Zamir White · NO-0.07
Kendre Miller · NO0.80
Audric Estimé · NO21.22
Tyler Shough · NO9.19
Barion Brown · NO2.13
CJ Donaldson · NO0.86
Targets Distribution19
Mark Andrews · BAL3.14
Rashod Bateman · BAL0.73
Zay Flowers · BAL6.10
Rasheen Ali · BAL0.21
Ja'Kobi Lane · BAL2.16
Matthew Hibner · BAL1.24
Noah Fant · NO1.08
Juwan Johnson · NO5.31
Travis Etienne · NO3.05
Kevin Austin Jr. · NO2.59
Chris Olave · NO8.34
Ty Chandler · NO0.39
Stone Smartt · NO1.27
Cedric Tillman · NO1.42
Audric Estimé · NO1.66
Devaughn Vele · NO2.34
Mason Tipton · NO0.66
Bryce Lance · NO3.53
CJ Donaldson · NO1.15
Receptions Distribution19
Mark Andrews · BAL2.12
Rashod Bateman · BAL0.26
Zay Flowers · BAL3.78
Rasheen Ali · BAL0.03
Ja'Kobi Lane · BAL1.23
Matthew Hibner · BAL1.05
Noah Fant · NO0.70
Juwan Johnson · NO3.62
Travis Etienne · NO2.32
Kevin Austin Jr. · NO1.30
Chris Olave · NO5.08
Ty Chandler · NO0.58
Stone Smartt · NO0.56
Cedric Tillman · NO0.63
Audric Estimé · NO1.46
Devaughn Vele · NO1.16
Mason Tipton · NO0.13
Bryce Lance · NO1.73
CJ Donaldson · NO0.51
Receiving Yards Distribution19
Mark Andrews · BAL16.89
Rashod Bateman · BAL1.41
Zay Flowers · BAL46.59
Rasheen Ali · BAL2.65
Ja'Kobi Lane · BAL18.48
Matthew Hibner · BAL11.22
Noah Fant · NO2.20
Juwan Johnson · NO44.69
Travis Etienne · NO13.83
Kevin Austin Jr. · NO11.62
Chris Olave · NO57.43
Ty Chandler · NO0.03
Stone Smartt · NO2.67
Cedric Tillman · NO2.60
Audric Estimé · NO6.68
Devaughn Vele · NO6.65
Mason Tipton · NO1.98
Bryce Lance · NO21.09
CJ Donaldson · NO3.40
Fantasy Ppr16
Derrick Henry · BAL15.46
Mark Andrews · BAL4.99
Lamar Jackson · BAL8.53
Tyler Huntley · BAL3.35
Zay Flowers · BAL10.43
Noah Fant · NO0.83
Juwan Johnson · NO9.14
Travis Etienne · NO10.64
Kevin Austin Jr. · NO2.50
Chris Olave · NO13.51
Ty Chandler · NO0.63
Stone Smartt · NO0.99
Kendre Miller · NO0.33
Audric Estimé · NO3.43
Devaughn Vele · NO3.22
Tyler Shough · NO16.21

PLAYER PROP SPOTLIGHT

Exact governed model + market matches when available
Stack & Cheese
Chris Olave
Chris OlaveNO · Receptions
Market line 5.5Model projection 5.4Best UNDER price +118
FanDuel · Model below current line
Devaughn Vele
Devaughn VeleNO · Receiving Yards
Market line 41.5Model projection 19.5Best UNDER price -112
betPARX · Model below current line

PLAYER PROPS

NO @ BAL · prediction first · best price only
Stack & Cheese
Chris OlaveNO · Receiving yards · line 70.5
Stack & Cheese projection57.74
Best UNDER price-113betPARX
Chris OlaveNO · Receptions · line 5.5
Stack & Cheese projection5.43
Best UNDER price+118FanDuel
Devaughn VeleNO · Receiving yards · line 41.5
Stack & Cheese projection19.48
Best UNDER price-112betPARX